All the Dominant Models Are Collapsing
Every nation is operating on models that are collapsing without those at the controls being aware that the implicit assumptions of their models no longer map reality.
A recent article lays out the collapse of the dominant geopolitical model of “rising powers generate conflict”: The Stagnant Order And the End of Rising Powers (Foreign Affairs, paywalled). The basic idea is that the foundations of “rising powers”--demographics and productivity gains--no longer support grandiose planetary dominance.
Rather, demographics …
